Football · Russia Premier League · 05/09, 15:30
Prediction: Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow
Team pages: Zenit St Petersburg · CSKA Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Zenit St Petersburg1.77
CSKA Moscow0.82
1X2
Zenit St Petersburg
Draw
CSKA Moscow
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Zenit St Petersburg
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
CSKA Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zenit St Petersburg
2–3–1
CSKA Moscow
(6 last)
- CSKA Moscow1-3Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-2CSKA Moscow
- Zenit St Petersburg1-1CSKA Moscow
- CSKA Moscow2-0Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-0CSKA Moscow
- Zenit St Petersburg0-0CSKA Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1583 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zenit St Petersburg | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.8 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zenit St Petersburg 2–3–1 CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Russia Premier League | CSKA Moscow | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 10/02/26 Club Friendly List | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-2 HT 1-1 | CSKA Moscow |
| 03/08/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CSKA Moscow |
| 14/05/25 Russia Cup | CSKA Moscow | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 30/04/25 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CSKA Moscow |
| 01/03/25 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Dinamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Rostov | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zenit St Petersburg | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Fakel Voronezh | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 5-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Rostov | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
CSKA Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zenit St Petersburg win (59%). Probabilities: Zenit St Petersburg 59%, draw 25%, CSKA Moscow 16%.
How many goals are expected in Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Zenit St Petersburg 1.77 · CSKA Moscow 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zenit St Petersburg vs CSKA Moscow?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.