Football · Russia Premier League · 06/09, 13:00
Prediction: FC Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti
Team pages: FC Orenburg · Akron Tolyatti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
FC Orenburg1.79
Akron Tolyatti0.94
1X2
FC Orenburg
Draw
Akron Tolyatti
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Orenburg
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Akron Tolyatti
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Orenburg
4–1–1
Akron Tolyatti
(6 last)
- FC Orenburg2-0Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti1-2FC Orenburg
- Akron Tolyatti1-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-2Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti0-3FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg1-0Akron Tolyatti
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Orenburg (rating 1497 vs 1425).
- H2H favours FC Orenburg: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Orenburg | Akron Tolyatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4 | – / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Orenburg 4–1–1 Akron Tolyatti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 17/08/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-2 HT 1-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 30/11/24 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 10/08/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 27/11/21 Russia Division 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FC Orenburg |
| 21/08/21 Russia Division 1 | FC Orenburg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
Standings · Russia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | Dinamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Rostov | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Orenburg | Akron Tolyatti |
|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-3 L | 0-5 L |
| Rostov | 2-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Krasnodar | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Orenburg (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Orenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Akron Tolyatti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Orenburg win (56%). Probabilities: FC Orenburg 56%, draw 25%, Akron Tolyatti 19%.
How many goals are expected in FC Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model expects 2.73 goals (FC Orenburg 1.79 · Akron Tolyatti 0.94), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.