Football · Russia Premier League · 29/08, 19:00
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow
Team pages: Lokomotiv Moscow · Dinamo Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Lokomotiv Moscow1.32
Dinamo Moscow1.27
1X2
Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw
Dinamo Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Moscow
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Moscow
3–1–2
Dinamo Moscow
(6 last)
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow3-5Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow2-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow2-0Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow0-1Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow1-2Lokomotiv Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Moscow (rating 1476 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Lokomotiv Moscow: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Moscow 3–1–2 Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 04/10/25 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 3-5 HT 2-2 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 15/03/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 15/02/25 Club Friendly List | Dinamo Moscow | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 28/11/24 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 05/11/24 Russia Cup | Dinamo Moscow | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | Rostov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | Dinamo Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fakel Voronezh | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Krylia Sovetov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv Moscow | Dinamo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Krylia Sovetov | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | D |
Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lokomotiv Moscow win (37%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Moscow 37%, draw 29%, Dinamo Moscow 34%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Lokomotiv Moscow 1.32 · Dinamo Moscow 1.27), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.