Football · Russia Premier League · 29/08, 16:30
Prediction: Krasnodar vs Rostov
Team pages: Krasnodar · Rostov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Krasnodar1.84
Rostov0.79
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
Rostov
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Rostov
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
5–1–0
Rostov
(6 last)
- Krasnodar2-1Rostov
- Rostov0-0Krasnodar
- Krasnodar4-2Rostov
- Rostov0-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-0Rostov
- Krasnodar3-2Rostov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1616 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.2 | – / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 5–1–0 Rostov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Rostov |
| 27/09/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 05/07/25 Club Friendly List | Krasnodar | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Rostov |
| 16/03/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 14/09/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Rostov |
| 06/07/24 Club Friendly List | Krasnodar | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Rostov |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Zenit St Petersburg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 10 | Rostov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 11 | Dinamo Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Rodina Moscow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | Fakel Voronezh | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Krylia Sovetov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krasnodar | Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Rubin Kazan | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Orenburg | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
Rostov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs Rostov?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (61%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 61%, draw 24%, Rostov 14%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs Rostov?
The model expects 2.63 goals (Krasnodar 1.84 · Rostov 0.79), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs Rostov?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.