Football · Russia Premier League · 12/09, 17:30
Prediction: Dinamo Moscow vs FC Orenburg
Team pages: Dinamo Moscow · FC Orenburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Dinamo Moscow2.09
FC Orenburg1.08
1X2
Dinamo Moscow
Draw
FC Orenburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Dinamo Moscow
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FC Orenburg
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dinamo Moscow
4–2–0
FC Orenburg
(6 last)
- Dinamo Moscow2-1FC Orenburg
- Dinamo Moscow3-3FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg1-3Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow5-1FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-2Dinamo Moscow
- FC Orenburg1-2Dinamo Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Moscow (rating 1574 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Dinamo Moscow: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dinamo Moscow | FC Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.6 | – / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dinamo Moscow 4–2–0 FC Orenburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 Club Friendly List | Dinamo Moscow | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 04/04/26 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 3-3 HT 2-1 | FC Orenburg |
| 21/09/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 29/03/25 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 5-1 HT 2-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 01/09/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 24/04/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Rostov | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 4 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dinamo Moscow | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Zenit St Petersburg | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Krylia Sovetov | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Krasnodar | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| PFC Sochi | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Moscow (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dinamo Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dinamo Moscow win (60%). Probabilities: Dinamo Moscow 60%, draw 22%, FC Orenburg 18%.
How many goals are expected in Dinamo Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Dinamo Moscow 2.09 · FC Orenburg 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dinamo Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.