Football · Russia Premier League · 17/09, 17:30
Prediction: Akron Tolyatti vs FC Akhmat Grozny
Team pages: Akron Tolyatti · FC Akhmat Grozny
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Akron Tolyatti1.29
FC Akhmat Grozny1.63
1X2
Akron Tolyatti
Draw
FC Akhmat Grozny
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Akron Tolyatti
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
FC Akhmat Grozny
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Akron Tolyatti
1–2–1
FC Akhmat Grozny
(4 last)
- Akron Tolyatti1-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny3-0Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti3-2FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny0-0Akron Tolyatti
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Akhmat Grozny (rating 1417 vs 1522).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Akron Tolyatti | FC Akhmat Grozny | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.7 | – / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Akron Tolyatti 1–2–1 FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 27/09/25 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 11/05/25 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 3-2 HT 2-1 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 31/08/24 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Rostov | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Rodina Moscow | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 4 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Akron Tolyatti | FC Akhmat Grozny |
|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 0-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Rostov | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Krasnodar | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Akhmat Grozny (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
FC Akhmat Grozny
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Akron Tolyatti vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Akhmat Grozny win (44%). Probabilities: Akron Tolyatti 29%, draw 27%, FC Akhmat Grozny 44%.
How many goals are expected in Akron Tolyatti vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Akron Tolyatti 1.29 · FC Akhmat Grozny 1.63), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Akron Tolyatti vs FC Akhmat Grozny?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.