Football · Russia Premier League · 16/09, 19:45

Prediction: Baltika Kaliningrad vs Zenit St Petersburg

Team pages: Baltika Kaliningrad · Zenit St Petersburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.99Total

Baltika Kaliningrad0.8

Zenit St Petersburg1.19

1X2

23% 33% 44%

Baltika Kaliningrad Draw Zenit St Petersburg

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLDWLD

Zenit St Petersburg 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Baltika Kaliningrad 1–1–4 Zenit St Petersburg (6 last)

Zenit St Petersburg1-0Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad0-1Zenit St Petersburg
Zenit St Petersburg1-0Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad0-0Zenit St Petersburg
Zenit St Petersburg1-2Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad1-2Zenit St Petersburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1462 vs 1576).
H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Baltika Kaliningrad	Zenit St Petersburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / 4.4	– / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.04

Under 2.251.81

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.40 → 4.40	Pinn 4.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.50
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:57 +57’	4.40	3.50	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Baltika Kaliningrad 1–1–4 Zenit St Petersburg

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/08/26 Russia Cup	Zenit St Petersburg	1-0 HT 1-0	Baltika Kaliningrad
03/03/26 Russia Cup	Baltika Kaliningrad	0-1 HT 0-0	Zenit St Petersburg
27/02/26 Russia Premier League	Zenit St Petersburg	1-0 HT 0-0	Baltika Kaliningrad
14/09/25 Russia Premier League	Baltika Kaliningrad	0-0 HT 0-0	Zenit St Petersburg
06/07/25 Club Friendly List	Zenit St Petersburg	1-2 HT 1-0	Baltika Kaliningrad
02/06/24 Russia Cup	Baltika Kaliningrad	1-2 HT 1-0	Zenit St Petersburg

Standings · Russia Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Krasnodar	7	6	1	0	13	6	19
2	Dinamo Moscow	8	5	1	2	11	8	16
3	CSKA Moscow	8	4	4	0	12	8	16
4	Zenit St Petersburg	8	5	0	3	16	7	15
5	Spartak Moscow	7	4	1	2	12	7	13
6	Dynamo Makhachkala	7	4	0	3	12	10	12
7	Baltika Kaliningrad	8	3	2	3	12	9	11
8	Rubin Kazan	8	2	5	1	11	10	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	8	2	4	2	12	13	10
10	FC Orenburg	8	1	5	2	7	10	8
11	Rostov	7	2	2	3	10	11	8
12	FC Akhmat Grozny	7	1	4	2	10	9	7
13	Lokomotiv Moscow	8	1	3	4	7	10	6
14	Rodina Moscow	8	1	1	6	9	21	4
15	Akron Tolyatti	7	0	4	3	8	17	4
16	Fakel Voronezh	8	0	3	5	6	12	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Baltika Kaliningrad	Zenit St Petersburg
Fakel Voronezh	2-2 D	1-0 W
Lokomotiv Moscow	0-1 L	2-1 W
Rodina Moscow	3-0 W	1-2 L
Spartak Moscow	1-2 L	0-2 L
Dinamo Moscow	2-1 W	3-0 W
CSKA Moscow	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Baltika Kaliningrad

LLLWWLDWLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League	0-1	2-2	7	4	D
06/09	Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
30/08	Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League	1-0	3-0	5	8	W
24/08	Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
16/08	Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League	1-1	1-2	5	7	L
08/08	Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
01/08	Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
24/07	CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League	1-2	1-2	2	2	L
17/05	Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
10/05	Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	7	L

Zenit St Petersburg

WWWWLWLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
05/09	CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League	0-1	1-2	10	7	L
29/08	Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
23/08	Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	9	L
16/08	Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
09/08	Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League	1-0	1-2	9	1	L
02/08	FC Orenburg Russia Premier League	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
25/07	Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League	3-0	5-0	5	5	W
17/05	Rostov Russia Premier League	1-0	1-0	8	6	W
10/05	PFC Sochi Russia Premier League	0-1	2-1	11	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Zenit St Petersburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zenit St Petersburg win (44%). Probabilities: Baltika Kaliningrad 23%, draw 33%, Zenit St Petersburg 44%.

How many goals are expected in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Zenit St Petersburg?

The model expects 1.99 goals (Baltika Kaliningrad 0.8 · Zenit St Petersburg 1.19), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Zenit St Petersburg?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.