Football · Russia Premier League · 17/09, 15:15
Prediction: FC Orenburg vs Krasnodar
Team pages: FC Orenburg · Krasnodar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
FC Orenburg1.18
Krasnodar1.67
1X2
FC Orenburg
Draw
Krasnodar
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Orenburg
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Krasnodar
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Orenburg
0–6
Krasnodar
(6 last)
- Krasnodar3-0FC Orenburg
- Krasnodar4-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg1-3Krasnodar
- FC Orenburg0-1Krasnodar
- FC Orenburg1-2Krasnodar
- Krasnodar4-0FC Orenburg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1471 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Orenburg | Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Orenburg 0–0–6 Krasnodar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 26/11/25 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 05/11/25 Russia Cup | FC Orenburg | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| 10/08/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 17/05/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| 03/11/24 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 4-0 HT 1-0 | FC Orenburg |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 10 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Rostov | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 5 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 4 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Orenburg | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Spartak Moscow | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Rostov | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Orenburg vs Krasnodar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Krasnodar win (48%). Probabilities: FC Orenburg 26%, draw 26%, Krasnodar 48%.
How many goals are expected in FC Orenburg vs Krasnodar?
The model expects 2.85 goals (FC Orenburg 1.18 · Krasnodar 1.67), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs Krasnodar?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.