Football · Russia Premier League · 16/09, 19:45
Prediction: Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov
Team pages: Lokomotiv Moscow · Krylia Sovetov
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Lokomotiv Moscow1.25
Krylia Sovetov1.32
1X2
Lokomotiv Moscow
Draw
Krylia Sovetov
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Lokomotiv Moscow
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Krylia Sovetov
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv Moscow
1–3–2
Krylia Sovetov
(6 last)
- Krylia Sovetov2-0Lokomotiv Moscow
- Krylia Sovetov2-2Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow2-2Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov5-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-0Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov3-3Lokomotiv Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krylia Sovetov (rating 1456 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Krylia Sovetov: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Krylia Sovetov | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.5 | – / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lokomotiv Moscow 1–3–2 Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 19/03/26 Russia Cup | Krylia Sovetov | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 31/08/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 28/03/25 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 5-1 HT 4-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 06/10/24 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 25/11/23 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 11 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 10 |
| 10 | FC Orenburg | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
| 11 | Rostov | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Rodina Moscow | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 4 |
| 15 | Akron Tolyatti | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lokomotiv Moscow | Krylia Sovetov |
|---|---|---|
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| CSKA Moscow | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Orenburg | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 14/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
4-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Krylia Sovetov win (37%). Probabilities: Lokomotiv Moscow 34%, draw 29%, Krylia Sovetov 37%.
How many goals are expected in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Lokomotiv Moscow 1.25 · Krylia Sovetov 1.32), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lokomotiv Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.