Football · Russia Premier League · 13/09, 18:30
Prediction: Krasnodar vs Akron Tolyatti
Team pages: Krasnodar · Akron Tolyatti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Krasnodar2.38
Akron Tolyatti0.78
1X2
Krasnodar
Draw
Akron Tolyatti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Krasnodar
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Akron Tolyatti
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krasnodar
4–1–0
Akron Tolyatti
(5 last)
- Akron Tolyatti0-1Krasnodar
- Krasnodar2-1Akron Tolyatti
- Krasnodar1-0Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti2-5Krasnodar
- Krasnodar0-0Akron Tolyatti
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Krasnodar (rating 1605 vs 1419).
- H2H favours Krasnodar: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krasnodar | Akron Tolyatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.9 | – / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krasnodar 4–1–0 Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Krasnodar |
| 13/09/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 05/04/25 Russia Premier League | Krasnodar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 21/09/24 Russia Premier League | Akron Tolyatti | 2-5 HT 0-2 | Krasnodar |
| 03/05/23 Russia Cup | Krasnodar | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Zenit St Petersburg | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Dinamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Rostov | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 13 | Rodina Moscow | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 4 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 15 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krasnodar | Akron Tolyatti |
|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Rostov | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Rubin Kazan | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Orenburg | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Krasnodar (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krasnodar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 15/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krasnodar vs Akron Tolyatti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Krasnodar win (72%). Probabilities: Krasnodar 72%, draw 18%, Akron Tolyatti 10%.
How many goals are expected in Krasnodar vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Krasnodar 2.38 · Akron Tolyatti 0.78), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Krasnodar vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.