Prediction: Rodina Moscow vs FC Orenburg
Team pages: Rodina Moscow · FC Orenburg
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodina Moscow (rating 1547 vs 1462).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rodina Moscow | FC Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 4.3 / 0 |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rodina Moscow | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Rubin Kazan | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Rostov | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Rodina Moscow (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodina Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Cup |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Lokomotiv Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 10 | W |
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/07 | Dinamo Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodina Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rodina Moscow win (58%). Probabilities: Rodina Moscow 58%, draw 24%, FC Orenburg 18%.
How many goals are expected in Rodina Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Rodina Moscow 1.96 · FC Orenburg 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rodina Moscow vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.