Football · Russia Cup · 19/08, 17:30
Prediction: Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moscow
Team pages: Rubin Kazan · Spartak Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Rubin Kazan1.06
Spartak Moscow1.29
1X2
Rubin Kazan
Draw
Spartak Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rubin Kazan
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Spartak Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rubin Kazan
1–1–4
Spartak Moscow
(6 last)
- Spartak Moscow0-0Rubin Kazan
- Spartak Moscow2-1Rubin Kazan
- Rubin Kazan0-2Spartak Moscow
- Rubin Kazan2-1Spartak Moscow
- Spartak Moscow1-0Rubin Kazan
- Spartak Moscow3-1Rubin Kazan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Moscow (rating 1472 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Spartak Moscow: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rubin Kazan | Spartak Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.8 | – / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubin Kazan 1–1–4 Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 Club Friendly List | Spartak Moscow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rubin Kazan |
| 11/05/26 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rubin Kazan |
| 23/08/25 Russia Premier League | Rubin Kazan | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| 09/03/25 Russia Premier League | Rubin Kazan | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| 31/08/24 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rubin Kazan |
| 19/05/24 Russia Premier League | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Rubin Kazan |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 4 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rubin Kazan | Spartak Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Rodina Moscow | 0-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Krasnodar | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Spartak Moscow (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rubin Kazan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/07 | Spartak Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/06 | Kamaz Nab Chelny 2 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Spartak Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Rubin Kazan Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Moscow win (40%). Probabilities: Rubin Kazan 29%, draw 30%, Spartak Moscow 40%.
How many goals are expected in Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moscow?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Rubin Kazan 1.06 · Spartak Moscow 1.29), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rubin Kazan vs Spartak Moscow?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.