Football · Russia Cup · 18/08, 19:45
Prediction: Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow
Team pages: Rostov · Lokomotiv Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Rostov1.33
Lokomotiv Moscow0.96
1X2
Rostov
Draw
Lokomotiv Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rostov
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Moscow
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rostov
1–4–1
Lokomotiv Moscow
(6 last)
- Rostov1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Rostov1-3Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow3-3Rostov
- Lokomotiv Moscow0-2Rostov
- Rostov1-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Rostov2-2Lokomotiv Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rostov | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.5 | – / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rostov 1–4–1 Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Club Friendly List | Rostov | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 30/11/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 23/08/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Rostov |
| 30/04/25 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rostov |
| 26/04/25 Russia Premier League | Rostov | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 23/10/24 Russia Cup | Rostov | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rostov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rostov | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Akron Tolyatti | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Rodina Moscow | 4-2 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Orenburg | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Rostov (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rostov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 31/07 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/04 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Rodina Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rostov win (44%). Probabilities: Rostov 44%, draw 30%, Lokomotiv Moscow 26%.
How many goals are expected in Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Rostov 1.33 · Lokomotiv Moscow 0.96), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rostov vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.