Football · Russia Cup · 19/08, 15:15
Prediction: Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg
Team pages: Krylia Sovetov · Zenit St Petersburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Krylia Sovetov1.08
Zenit St Petersburg1.47
1X2
Krylia Sovetov
Draw
Zenit St Petersburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Krylia Sovetov
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Zenit St Petersburg
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Krylia Sovetov
1–2–3
Zenit St Petersburg
(6 last)
- Zenit St Petersburg2-1Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov1-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg2-3Krylia Sovetov
- Krylia Sovetov0-4Zenit St Petersburg
- Krylia Sovetov1-1Zenit St Petersburg
- Zenit St Petersburg1-0Krylia Sovetov
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zenit St Petersburg (rating 1489 vs 1602).
- H2H favours Zenit St Petersburg: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Krylia Sovetov | Zenit St Petersburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 80/0/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.6 | – / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Krylia Sovetov 1–2–3 Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 09/11/25 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 01/12/24 Russia Premier League | Zenit St Petersburg | 2-3 HT 1-3 | Krylia Sovetov |
| 20/07/24 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 30/03/24 Russia Premier League | Krylia Sovetov | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 31/10/23 Russia Cup | Zenit St Petersburg | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Krylia Sovetov |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Krylia Sovetov | Zenit St Petersburg |
|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Baltika Kaliningrad | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Akron Tolyatti | 4-1 W | 5-0 W |
| FC Orenburg | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Spartak Moscow | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Zenit St Petersburg (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Krylia Sovetov
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
4-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Zenit St Petersburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 05/08 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | FC Orenburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Super Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Crvena Zvezda Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | Neftchi Fergana Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Zenit St Petersburg win (45%). Probabilities: Krylia Sovetov 27%, draw 29%, Zenit St Petersburg 45%.
How many goals are expected in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Krylia Sovetov 1.08 · Zenit St Petersburg 1.47), with a 60% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.