Football · Russia Cup · 18/08, 19:45
Prediction: FC Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
Team pages: FC Akhmat Grozny · Fakel Voronezh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
FC Akhmat Grozny1.46
Fakel Voronezh0.74
1X2
FC Akhmat Grozny
Draw
Fakel Voronezh
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Akhmat Grozny
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Fakel Voronezh
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Akhmat Grozny
0–3–3
Fakel Voronezh
(6 last)
- Fakel Voronezh0-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- Fakel Voronezh0-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny2-3Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh2-0FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-2Fakel Voronezh
- Fakel Voronezh1-1FC Akhmat Grozny
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Akhmat Grozny (rating 1531 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Fakel Voronezh: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Akhmat Grozny | Fakel Voronezh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.8 | – / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Akhmat Grozny 0–3–3 Fakel Voronezh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/26 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 05/04/25 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 18/10/24 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 25/05/24 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 04/11/23 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Fakel Voronezh |
| 16/04/23 Russia Premier League | Fakel Voronezh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
Standings · Russia Cup · Russian Cup 26/27, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 3 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Akhmat Grozny | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Krasnodar | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Akhmat Grozny (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Akhmat Grozny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Radnik Bijeljina Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/06 | Borac Banja Luka Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 10/05 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Fakel Voronezh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 10/08 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 05/08 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | FK Volga Ulyanovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | SKA Energia Khabarovsk Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | FK Yenisey Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Torpedo Moscow Russia Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Shinnik Yaroslavl Russia Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Akhmat Grozny win (53%). Probabilities: FC Akhmat Grozny 53%, draw 29%, Fakel Voronezh 18%.
How many goals are expected in FC Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh?
The model expects 2.2 goals (FC Akhmat Grozny 1.46 · Fakel Voronezh 0.74), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.