Prediction: AFC Wimbledon vs Reading
Team pages: AFC Wimbledon · Reading
- AFC Wimbledon3-2Reading
- Reading2-1AFC Wimbledon
- Reading1-2AFC Wimbledon
- Reading0-1AFC Wimbledon
- AFC Wimbledon0-2Reading
- AFC Wimbledon4-2Reading
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reading (rating 1464 vs 1545).
- H2H favours AFC Wimbledon: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Wimbledon | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Wimbledon 4–0–2 Reading
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Reading |
| 26/08/25 England EFL Cup | Reading | 2-1 HT 1-1 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 16/08/25 England League 1 | Reading | 1-2 HT 0-1 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 08/07/23 Club Friendly List | Reading | 0-1 HT 0-1 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 19/07/22 Club Friendly List | AFC Wimbledon | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Reading |
| 07/07/18 Club Friendly List | AFC Wimbledon | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Reading |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mansfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AFC Wimbledon | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Newport County | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Charlton | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Reading (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Wimbledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Newport County England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | QPR UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Wealdstone UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Charlton UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Norwich UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Sutton Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Reading
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Luton England League 1 |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Bromley England EFL Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Charlton UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Crawley Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Newport County UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Woking UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Getafe Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Farnborough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Reading win (38%). Probabilities: AFC Wimbledon 34%, draw 27%, Reading 38%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
The model expects 3.02 goals (AFC Wimbledon 1.46 · Reading 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Wimbledon vs Reading?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.