Football · England League 1 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Doncaster vs Barnsley
Team pages: Doncaster · Barnsley
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Doncaster1.45
Barnsley1.15
1X2
Doncaster
Draw
Barnsley
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Doncaster
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Barnsley
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Doncaster
2–2–2
Barnsley
(6 last)
- Barnsley0-1Doncaster
- Doncaster1-2Barnsley
- Barnsley1-3Doncaster
- Doncaster2-4Barnsley
- Doncaster0-0Barnsley
- Barnsley1-1Doncaster
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Doncaster 1509 · Barnsley 1483
| Doncaster | Draw | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 27% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Doncaster | Barnsley | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Doncaster 2–2–2 Barnsley
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 England League 1 | Barnsley | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 08/11/25 England League 1 | Doncaster | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Barnsley |
| 29/10/24 England EFL Trophy | Barnsley | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Doncaster |
| 11/10/22 England EFL Trophy | Doncaster | 2-4 HT 0-4 | Barnsley |
| 15/03/19 England League 1 | Doncaster | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barnsley |
| 24/11/18 England League 1 | Barnsley | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mansfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Doncaster | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Lincoln City | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Doncaster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Stockport England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Wolverhampton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Gainsborough Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Harrogate Town UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | Linfield UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | Glenavon UK Friendlies |
4-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | St Patricks Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Wigan England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Scarborough Athletic UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | York UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Doncaster vs Barnsley?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Doncaster win (43%). Probabilities: Doncaster 43%, draw 28%, Barnsley 29%.
How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Barnsley?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Doncaster 1.45 · Barnsley 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Doncaster vs Barnsley?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.