Football · England League 1 · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Peterborough vs Mansfield
Team pages: Peterborough · Mansfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Peterborough1.41
Mansfield1.5
1X2
Peterborough
Draw
Mansfield
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Peterborough
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Mansfield
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peterborough
1–2–2
Mansfield
(5 last)
- Peterborough0-0Mansfield
- Mansfield1-2Peterborough
- Mansfield4-2Peterborough
- Peterborough0-3Mansfield
- Mansfield2-2Peterborough
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peterborough 1510 · Mansfield 1514
| Peterborough | Draw | Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mansfield: 2-2-1.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peterborough | Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 2.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.1 | 3.5 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peterborough 1–2–2 Mansfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/26 England League 1 | Peterborough | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mansfield |
| 10/02/26 England League 1 | Mansfield | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Peterborough |
| 30/04/25 England League 1 | Mansfield | 4-2 HT 3-0 | Peterborough |
| 26/12/24 England League 1 | Peterborough | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Mansfield |
| 26/09/23 England EFL Cup | Mansfield | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Peterborough |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Stockport | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Bradford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Mansfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Bromley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Milton Keynes Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Blackpool | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Leicester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Notts County | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peterborough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Bristol Rovers England EFL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | West Brom UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 28/07 | York UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Boston Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | Peterborough Sports Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Colchester UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Neom SC World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Mansfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Sheff Utd England EFL Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Derby UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 17 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Alfreton Town UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Barrow Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 14/07 | Retford Utd Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Cardiff England League 1 |
3-0 | 5-4 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peterborough vs Mansfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mansfield win (39%). Probabilities: Peterborough 35%, draw 27%, Mansfield 39%.
How many goals are expected in Peterborough vs Mansfield?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Peterborough 1.41 · Mansfield 1.5), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Peterborough vs Mansfield?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.