Football · England League 1 · 02/09, 20:45
Prediction: Barnsley vs Blackpool
Team pages: Barnsley · Blackpool
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Barnsley1.32
Blackpool1.17
1X2
Barnsley
Draw
Blackpool
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Barnsley
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Blackpool
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barnsley
2–4
Blackpool
(6 last)
- Barnsley2-1Blackpool
- Blackpool1-0Barnsley
- Barnsley0-3Blackpool
- Blackpool1-2Barnsley
- Blackpool3-2Barnsley
- Blackpool2-1Barnsley
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barnsley 1532 · Blackpool 1550
| Barnsley | Draw | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Blackpool: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barnsley | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 3.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barnsley 2–0–4 Blackpool
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 England League 1 | Barnsley | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Blackpool |
| 20/09/25 England League 1 | Blackpool | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Barnsley |
| 08/03/25 England League 1 | Barnsley | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Blackpool |
| 19/10/24 England League 1 | Blackpool | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Barnsley |
| 20/04/24 England League 1 | Blackpool | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Barnsley |
| 05/12/23 England EFL Trophy | Blackpool | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Barnsley |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Sheff Wed | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Stockport | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Bradford | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Notts County | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Luton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Cambridge Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Plymouth | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | Bromley | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | Stevenage | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Doncaster | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 20 | Leicester | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 21 | Wycombe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 |
| 22 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 24 | Wigan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barnsley | Blackpool |
|---|---|---|
| Leyton Orient | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Stockport | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Stevenage | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barnsley
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/04 | Northampton England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Port Vale England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Blackpool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Peterborough England League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Stockport England League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Exeter England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barnsley vs Blackpool?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Barnsley win (40%). Probabilities: Barnsley 40%, draw 28%, Blackpool 32%.
How many goals are expected in Barnsley vs Blackpool?
The model expects 2.49 goals (Barnsley 1.32 · Blackpool 1.17), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Barnsley vs Blackpool?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.