Football · England League 1 · 02/09, 21:00

Prediction: Reading vs Mansfield

Team pages: Reading · Mansfield

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.45Total
Reading1.32
Mansfield1.13
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Reading Draw Mansfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Reading 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LWDLLLDLLD
Mansfield 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DLDDWWDWWL
Head-to-head
Reading 2–1–1 Mansfield (4 last)
  • Mansfield1-0Reading
  • Reading1-1Mansfield
  • Mansfield1-5Reading
  • Reading2-1Mansfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reading 1545 · Mansfield 1517
ReadingDrawMansfield
Our model40%30%31%
Market41%28%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Reading: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ReadingMansfield
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.41.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.82.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.6 / 03.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Reading 211 Mansfield

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/03/26
England League 1
Mansfield1-0
HT 0-0
Reading
04/10/25
England League 1
Reading1-1
HT 0-1
Mansfield
21/04/25
England League 1
Mansfield1-5
HT 0-1
Reading
29/12/24
England League 1
Reading2-1
HT 1-1
Mansfield

Standings · England League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blackpool 3210 727
2 Huddersfield 3210 627
3 Sheff Wed 3201 946
3 Stockport 3201 946
5 Bradford 3201 326
6 Notts County 3120 545
7 Luton 2110 654
8 Oxford Utd 2110 434
9 Barnsley 3111 324
10 Cambridge Utd 3111 554
11 Burton Albion 3111 444
11 Plymouth 3111 444
13 Bromley 3111 484
14 Mansfield 2101 333
14 Milton Keynes Dons 3030 333
16 Leyton Orient 3102 453
17 Peterborough 3102 273
18 Stevenage 3021 452
19 Doncaster 3021 342
20 Leicester 3021 232
21 Wycombe 3021 372
22 Reading 2011 341
23 AFC Wimbledon 2011 031
24 Wigan 2002 250

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentReadingMansfield
Luton 3-4 L 2-2 D
Cardiff 1-3 L 5-4 W
Doncaster 0-1 L 2-1 W
Huddersfield 1-1 D 4-1 W
Wigan 3-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 3 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mansfield (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reading

LWDLLLDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 AFC Wimbledon
England League 1
0-0 0-0 75 D
15/08 Luton
England League 1
3-1 3-4 53 L
02/05 Blackpool
England League 1
0-0 0-1 31 L
25/04 Rotherham
England League 1
0-1 1-1 25 D
18/04 Cardiff
England League 1
0-1 1-3 77 L
11/04 Doncaster
England League 1
0-0 0-1 43 L
06/04 Lincoln City
England League 1
0-1 1-2 33 L
03/04 Huddersfield
England League 1
1-0 1-1 25 D
28/03 Wigan
England League 1
2-0 3-0 30 W
21/03 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 0-1 24 L

Mansfield

DLDDWWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 1-2 34 L
15/08 Doncaster
England League 1
1-0 2-1 73 W
02/05 Cardiff
England League 1
3-0 5-4 63 W
28/04 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 0-0 72 D
25/04 Huddersfield
England League 1
2-0 4-1 33 W
21/04 Stockport
England League 1
0-0 1-0 58 W
18/04 Luton
England League 1
2-1 2-2 34 D
14/04 Leyton Orient
England League 1
0-0 0-0 81 D
11/04 Wigan
England League 1
1-1 1-2 43 L
06/04 Burton Albion
England League 1
0-0 0-0 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reading vs Mansfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Reading win (40%). Probabilities: Reading 40%, draw 29%, Mansfield 31%.

How many goals are expected in Reading vs Mansfield?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Reading 1.32 · Mansfield 1.13), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Reading vs Mansfield?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.