Football · England League 1 · 31/10, 16:00
Prediction: Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon
Team pages: Stockport · AFC Wimbledon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Stockport2.13
AFC Wimbledon0.62
1X2
Stockport
Draw
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Stockport
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
AFC Wimbledon
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stockport
5–1
AFC Wimbledon
(6 last)
- AFC Wimbledon0-2Stockport
- Stockport3-0AFC Wimbledon
- Stockport1-0AFC Wimbledon
- AFC Wimbledon1-2Stockport
- AFC Wimbledon1-0Stockport
- Stockport1-0AFC Wimbledon
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stockport 1571 · AFC Wimbledon 1448
| Stockport | Draw | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stockport (rating 1571 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Stockport: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stockport | AFC Wimbledon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.9 | 2.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stockport 5–0–1 AFC Wimbledon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 England League 1 | AFC Wimbledon | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Stockport |
| 28/03/26 England League 1 | Stockport | 3-0 HT 2-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 01/04/24 England League 2 | Stockport | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
| 09/09/23 England League 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Stockport |
| 28/01/23 England League 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stockport |
| 03/09/22 England League 2 | Stockport | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AFC Wimbledon |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Sheff Wed | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 23 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 13 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stockport | AFC Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Doncaster | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Bromley | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Sheff Wed | 0-0 D | 0-5 L |
| Wigan | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stockport (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stockport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Luton England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
AFC Wimbledon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Plymouth England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/09 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 22/08 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stockport win (72%). Probabilities: Stockport 72%, draw 18%, AFC Wimbledon 9%.
How many goals are expected in Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Stockport 2.13 · AFC Wimbledon 0.62), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stockport vs AFC Wimbledon?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.