Football · England League 1 · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Doncaster vs Sheff Wed
Team pages: Doncaster · Sheff Wed
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Doncaster1.28
Sheff Wed1.39
1X2
Doncaster
Draw
Sheff Wed
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Doncaster
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Sheff Wed
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Doncaster
1–1–3
Sheff Wed
(5 last)
- Doncaster1-0Sheff Wed
- Doncaster1-3Sheff Wed
- Sheff Wed2-0Doncaster
- Doncaster1-2Sheff Wed
- Doncaster2-2Sheff Wed
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Doncaster 1464 · Sheff Wed 1561
| Doncaster | Draw | Sheff Wed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sheff Wed (rating 1464 vs 1561).
- H2H favours Sheff Wed: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Doncaster | Sheff Wed | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Doncaster 1–1–3 Sheff Wed
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/23 Club Friendly List | Doncaster | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sheff Wed |
| 19/02/22 England League 1 | Doncaster | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Sheff Wed |
| 14/08/21 England League 1 | Sheff Wed | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Doncaster |
| 26/07/17 Club Friendly List | Doncaster | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sheff Wed |
| 27/07/14 Club Friendly List | Doncaster | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Sheff Wed |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Doncaster | Sheff Wed |
|---|---|---|
| Stockport | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Peterborough | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| Notts County | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Doncaster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/10 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Plymouth England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
Sheff Wed
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Notts County England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/10 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 01/09 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Bromley England League 1 |
3-0 | 7-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/08 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Doncaster vs Sheff Wed?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sheff Wed win (39%). Probabilities: Doncaster 34%, draw 28%, Sheff Wed 39%.
How many goals are expected in Doncaster vs Sheff Wed?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Doncaster 1.28 · Sheff Wed 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Doncaster vs Sheff Wed?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.