Football · England League 1 · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Notts County vs Stockport
Team pages: Notts County · Stockport
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Notts County0.9
Stockport1.8
1X2
Notts County
Draw
Stockport
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Notts County
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Stockport
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Notts County
2–1–3
Stockport
(6 last)
- Notts County2-5Stockport
- Stockport2-1Notts County
- Stockport3-0Notts County
- Notts County2-1Stockport
- Stockport0-0Notts County
- Stockport1-2Notts County
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Notts County 1506 · Stockport 1554
| Notts County | Draw | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 25% | 57% |
| Market | 18% | 23% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stockport (rating 1506 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Stockport: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Notts County | Stockport | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 3 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Notts County 2–1–3 Stockport
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/24 England League 2 | Notts County | 2-5 HT 0-3 | Stockport |
| 22/12/23 England League 2 | Stockport | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Notts County |
| 15/03/22 England National League | Stockport | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Notts County |
| 23/10/21 England National League | Notts County | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Stockport |
| 23/02/21 England National League | Stockport | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Notts County |
| 16/01/21 England FA Trophy | Stockport | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Notts County |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
| 2 | Stockport | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 6 | Sheff Wed | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | Reading | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 15 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 13 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
| 14 | Leicester | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 12 |
| 16 | Luton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 11 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 9 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 8 |
| 21 | Barnsley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 22 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 8 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 24 | Wigan | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Notts County | Stockport |
|---|---|---|
| Sheff Wed | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Wycombe | 0-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Doncaster | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Luton | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Leicester | 1-1 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Notts County (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Notts County
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Oxford Utd England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 19/09 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/09 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Luton England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Stockport
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 17/10 | Bromley England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Peterborough England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Sheff Wed England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Wigan England League 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Luton England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Notts County vs Stockport?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stockport win (58%). Probabilities: Notts County 18%, draw 24%, Stockport 58%.
How many goals are expected in Notts County vs Stockport?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Notts County 0.9 · Stockport 1.8), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Notts County vs Stockport?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.