Prediction: Plymouth vs Reading
Team pages: Plymouth · Reading
- Reading2-2Plymouth
- Plymouth1-4Reading
- Plymouth2-4Reading
- Reading2-0Plymouth
| Plymouth | Draw | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Reading: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Plymouth | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 2.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 3.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Plymouth 0–1–3 Reading
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 England League 1 | Reading | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Plymouth |
| 26/12/25 England League 1 | Plymouth | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Reading |
| 27/08/19 England EFL Cup | Plymouth | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Reading |
| 09/08/16 England EFL Cup | Reading | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Plymouth |
Standings · England League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Stockport | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 23 |
| 3 | Bradford | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Plymouth | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 5 | Reading | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 17 | 20 |
| 7 | Oxford Utd | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 19 |
| 8 | Sheff Wed | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 18 |
| 10 | Luton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 17 |
| 11 | Burton Albion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 12 | Stevenage | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 23 | 15 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 14 |
| 16 | AFC Wimbledon | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 13 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 12 |
| 19 | Notts County | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Blackpool | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 21 | Peterborough | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 10 |
| 22 | Bromley | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 9 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 24 | Wigan | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Plymouth | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Cambridge Utd | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Leyton Orient | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Blackpool | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Barnsley | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Plymouth (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Plymouth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/10 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/10 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/09 | Burton Albion England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Barnsley England League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Leicester England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
Reading
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Barnsley England League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/10 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 1 |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Bradford England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 26/09 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/09 | Notts County England League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Cambridge Utd England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Blackpool England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/09 | Mansfield England League 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Plymouth vs Reading?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Plymouth win (40%). Probabilities: Plymouth 40%, draw 26%, Reading 34%.
How many goals are expected in Plymouth vs Reading?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Plymouth 1.73 · Reading 1.59), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Plymouth vs Reading?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.