Prediction: River Plate vs Aldosivi
| River Plate | Draw | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 23% | 13% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours River Plate (rating 1537 vs 1438).
- H2H favours River Plate: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| River Plate | Aldosivi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · River Plate 6–0–0 Aldosivi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Aldosivi |
| 24/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Aldosivi | 0-3 HT 0-0 | River Plate |
| 27/08/21 Argentina Liga Profesional | River Plate | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Aldosivi |
| 09/05/21 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | River Plate | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Aldosivi |
| 03/11/19 Argentina Superliga | Aldosivi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | River Plate |
| 04/05/19 Argentina Superliga Cup | River Plate | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Aldosivi |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | River Plate | Aldosivi |
|---|---|---|
| Belgrano | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Atlético Tucumán | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Aldosivi (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Flamengo America Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/05 | Blooming Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 14/05 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Carabobo Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/05 | Bragantino Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 10 | W |
Aldosivi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/03 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 16/03 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 12/03 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/03 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in River Plate vs Aldosivi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a River Plate win (65%). Probabilities: River Plate 65%, draw 21%, Aldosivi 14%.
How many goals are expected in River Plate vs Aldosivi?
The model expects 2.72 goals (River Plate 1.95 · Aldosivi 0.77), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in River Plate vs Aldosivi?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.