Prediction: Independiente Rivadavia vs CA Tigre
Expected goals: 2.71 (Independiente Rivadavia 1.4 · CA Tigre 1.31). The model gives 38% home, 29% draw, 34% away. Over 2.25 goals (54%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Independiente Rivadavia sits at 6-3-1 (W-D-L), while CA Tigre arrives on a 2-6-2 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Independiente Rivadavia and 1 for CA Tigre, with 1 draw.
| Independiente Rivadavia | Draw | CA Tigre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Independiente Rivadavia (rating 1588 vs 1481).
- H2H favours Independiente Rivadavia: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente Rivadavia | CA Tigre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Independiente Rivadavia 3–1–1 CA Tigre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 06/09/25 Argentina Cup | CA Tigre | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 23/08/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 15/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-4 HT 0-2 | CA Tigre |
| 09/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | CA Tigre | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente Rivadavia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05 | Bolivar Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/05 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Copa Libertadores |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 9 | W |
| 20/04 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/04 | Fluminense Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
CA Tigre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05 | Alianza Atletico Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 20/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 07/05 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | America de Cali Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 21/04 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Macara Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/04 | Alianza Atletico Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Independiente Rivadavia vs CA Tigre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Independiente Rivadavia win (38%). Probabilities: Independiente Rivadavia 38%, draw 29%, CA Tigre 34%.
How many goals are expected in Independiente Rivadavia vs CA Tigre?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Independiente Rivadavia 1.4 · CA Tigre 1.31), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Independiente Rivadavia vs CA Tigre?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.