Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/07, 21:30

Prediction: Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario

Expected goals: 2.16 (Deportivo Maipu 1.22 · Agropecuario 0.94). The model gives 41% home, 31% draw, 27% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Deportivo Maipu with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Agropecuario has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Deportivo Maipu and 3 for Agropecuario, with 2 draws.

41%1
41% 31% 27%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Maipu 1501 · Agropecuario 1483
Deportivo MaipuDrawAgropecuario
Our model41%32%27%
Market41%31%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.16Deportivo Maipu 1.22 · Agropecuario 0.94
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Agropecuario: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo MaipuAgropecuario
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.70.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.10.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.81.7 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.25.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Maipu 123 Agropecuario

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
Argentina Nacional B
Agropecuario2-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maipu
28/07/24
Argentina Nacional B
Agropecuario0-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Maipu
10/03/24
Argentina Nacional B
Deportivo Maipu1-2
HT 0-1
Agropecuario
19/03/22
Argentina Nacional B
Agropecuario2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Maipu
13/08/21
Argentina Nacional B
Deportivo Maipu2-0
HT 1-0
Agropecuario
03/04/21
Argentina Nacional B
Agropecuario1-1
HT 0-1
Deportivo Maipu

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy 181134 302036
2 CA Atlanta 181035 231333
3 Tristan Suarez 18792 161030
4 Atletico Rafaela 18765 141227
5 Club Atletico Temperley 18693 181727
6 Ferrocarril Midland 18756 191426
7 San Martin SJ 17656 181823
8 CA Colegiales 18657 171723
9 San Martin de Tucuman 18585 151523
10 Deportivo Maipu 18648 222022
11 Nueva Chicago 17575 151622
12 Almagro 18648 151922
13 Quilmes 18567 161421
14 Gimnasia y Tiro 18567 161921
15 Patronato Parana 18495 121521
16 Chacarita Juniors 18549 142019
17 CA Guemes 18549 183019
18 Agropecuario 18468 142218

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo MaipuAgropecuario
Gimnasia y Tiro 0-0 D 3-2 W
San Martin SJ 1-2 L 0-2 L
Almagro 1-0 W 1-2 L
Patronato Parana 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maipu (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Maipu

DWDWWLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 95 D
14/06 Tristan Suarez
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 35 L
07/06 CA Guemes
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 32 L
31/05 Chacarita Juniors
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 3-2 106 W
23/05 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-2 34 L
17/05 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 26 W
09/05 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
4-0 5-0 15 W
03/05 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-1 16 D
26/04 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-0 104 W
19/04 Patronato Parana
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 63 D

Agropecuario

LWWDLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 38 L
13/06 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-2 48 L
07/06 Patronato Parana
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-1 48 D
30/05 CA Colegiales
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 12 D
24/05 Quilmes
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 66 D
17/05 Ferrocarril Midland
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 44 L
10/05 CA Atlanta
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 51 D
05/05 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
1-2 3-2 50 W
26/04 San Martin de Tucuman
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 28 W
21/04 Atletico Rafaela
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-4 310 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Maipu win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo Maipu 41%, draw 31%, Agropecuario 27%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Deportivo Maipu 1.22 · Agropecuario 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Maipu vs Agropecuario?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.