Prediction: San Martin de Tucuman vs Almagro
Expected goals: 1.75 (San Martin de Tucuman 1.08 · Almagro 0.67). The model gives 45% home, 33% draw, 22% away. Under 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves San Martin de Tucuman with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Almagro has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, San Martin de Tucuman won 3 and Almagro 0, with 3 draws.
| San Martin de Tucuman | Draw | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 35% | 21% |
| Market | 46% | 32% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours San Martin de Tucuman: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Martin de Tucuman | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.5 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Martin de Tucuman 3–3–0 Almagro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 14/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 08/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 23/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Martin de Tucuman |
| 19/03/23 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 19/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 6 | Atletico Rafaela | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Martin de Tucuman | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA Atlanta | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Almagro (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Martin de Tucuman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 20/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 07/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Banfield Argentina Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Martin de Tucuman vs Almagro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Martin de Tucuman win (45%). Probabilities: San Martin de Tucuman 45%, draw 33%, Almagro 22%.
How many goals are expected in San Martin de Tucuman vs Almagro?
The model expects 1.75 goals (San Martin de Tucuman 1.08 · Almagro 0.67), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in San Martin de Tucuman vs Almagro?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.