Prediction: Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato Parana
Expected goals: 1.89 (Gimnasia y Tiro 1.26 · Patronato Parana 0.63). The model gives 51% home, 32% draw, 17% away. Over 1.75 goals (50%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Gimnasia y Tiro sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while Patronato Parana arrives on a 2-6-2 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Gimnasia y Tiro and 1 for Patronato Parana, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia y Tiro (rating 1514 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Gimnasia y Tiro: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia y Tiro | Patronato Parana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.4 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 5.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia y Tiro 2–1–1 Patronato Parana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 12/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Patronato Parana |
| 09/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 24/01/23 Argentina Cup | Patronato Parana | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 6 | Atletico Rafaela | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia y Tiro | Patronato Parana |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrocarril Midland | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Rafaela | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Agropecuario | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
Patronato Parana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 14/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato Parana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia y Tiro win (51%). Probabilities: Gimnasia y Tiro 51%, draw 32%, Patronato Parana 17%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato Parana?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Gimnasia y Tiro 1.26 · Patronato Parana 0.63), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato Parana?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.