Football · Argentina Nacional B · 14/07, 02:00
Prediction: CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
CA Atlanta1.29
CA Colegiales0.67
1X2
CA Atlanta
Draw
CA Colegiales
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atlanta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CA Colegiales
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Atlanta
2–2–2
CA Colegiales
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Atlanta 1532 · CA Colegiales 1522
| CA Atlanta | Draw | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 32% | 18% |
| Market | 51% | 31% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atlanta | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlanta 2–2–2 CA Colegiales
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 12/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 12/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 04/05/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Atlanta | 3-0 HT 3-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 27/11/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 27/01/18 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 3-3 HT 0-3 | CA Atlanta |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 8 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Atlanta | CA Colegiales |
|---|---|---|
| Quilmes | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Agropecuario | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Tristan Suarez | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| CA Guemes | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlanta win (50%). Probabilities: CA Atlanta 50%, draw 31%, CA Colegiales 18%.
How many goals are expected in CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales?
The model expects 1.97 goals (CA Atlanta 1.29 · CA Colegiales 0.67), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.