Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/07, 19:00

Prediction: CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales

Expected goals: 1.98 (CA Atlanta 1.3 · CA Colegiales 0.68). The model gives 50% home, 31% draw, 18% away. Over 1.75 goals (52%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

On recent form, CA Atlanta is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and CA Colegiales 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, CA Atlanta won 2 and CA Colegiales 2, with 2 draws.

50%1
50% 31% 18%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Atlanta 1532 · CA Colegiales 1522
CA AtlantaDrawCA Colegiales
Our model50%31%18%
Market51%31%19%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.98CA Atlanta 1.3 · CA Colegiales 0.68
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 52%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA AtlantaCA Colegiales
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.71.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.10.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.32.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.33.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlanta 222 CA Colegiales

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/02/26
Argentina Nacional B
CA Colegiales1-0
HT 0-0
CA Atlanta
12/07/25
Argentina Nacional B
CA Colegiales2-0
HT 2-0
CA Atlanta
12/03/25
Argentina Nacional B
CA Atlanta1-0
HT 0-0
CA Colegiales
04/05/19
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
CA Atlanta3-0
HT 3-0
CA Colegiales
27/11/18
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
CA Colegiales0-0
HT 0-0
CA Atlanta
27/01/18
Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
CA Colegiales3-3
HT 0-3
CA Atlanta

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy 191144 312137
2 CA Atlanta 191036 241533
3 Tristan Suarez 19793 161130
4 Club Atletico Temperley 19793 191730
5 Ferrocarril Midland 19766 201527
6 Atletico Rafaela 19766 141327
7 San Martin de Tucuman 19685 161526
8 Deportivo Maipu 19748 242025
9 Nueva Chicago 18675 171625
10 Almagro 19748 161925
11 Quilmes 19667 181524
12 Gimnasia y Tiro 19667 182024
13 CA Colegiales 19658 181923
13 San Martin SJ 18657 181923
15 Chacarita Juniors 19649 152022
16 Patronato Parana 19496 121621
17 CA Guemes 195410 183219
18 Agropecuario 19469 142418

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA AtlantaCA Colegiales
Quilmes 1-2 L 3-1 W
Gimnasia y Tiro 1-1 D 1-2 L
San Martin de Tucuman 1-0 W 2-0 W
Atletico Rafaela 2-0 W 0-1 L
Agropecuario 0-0 D 0-0 D
Tristan Suarez 3-1 W 0-0 D
CA Guemes 2-0 W 4-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Atlanta

WWDWWDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Quilmes
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-2 54 L
20/06 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-2 42 L
13/06 Ferrocarril Midland
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 2-1 03 W
06/06 Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 3-0 35 W
31/05 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-1 69 D
25/05 San Martin de Tucuman
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 37 W
16/05 Atletico Rafaela
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 62 W
10/05 Agropecuario
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 31 D
03/05 Tristan Suarez
Argentina Nacional B
2-0 3-1 14 W
26/04 CA Guemes
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-0 25 W

CA Colegiales

DWLWDDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 1-2 84 L
20/06 Quilmes
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 3-1 20 W
13/06 San Martin de Tucuman
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-0 59 W
06/06 Atletico Rafaela
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-1 67 L
30/05 Agropecuario
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 42 D
23/05 Tristan Suarez
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 62 D
16/05 CA Guemes
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 4-1 86 W
10/05 Chacarita Juniors
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-2 41 L
03/05 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 51 W
26/04 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 44 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlanta win (50%). Probabilities: CA Atlanta 50%, draw 31%, CA Colegiales 18%.

How many goals are expected in CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales?

The model expects 1.98 goals (CA Atlanta 1.3 · CA Colegiales 0.68), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Atlanta vs CA Colegiales?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.