Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/07, 20:00

Prediction: Deportivo Madryn vs Colon

Expected goals: 2.27 (Deportivo Madryn 1.23 · Colon 1.04). The model gives 39% home, 32% draw, 29% away. Over 2 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Deportivo Madryn is 4-4-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Colon 2-6-2 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Madryn won 0 and Colon 1, with 2 draws.

39%1
39% 32% 29%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Madryn 1516 · Colon 1512
Deportivo MadrynDrawColon
Our model39%31%30%
Market39%32%29%
Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.27Deportivo Madryn 1.23 · Colon 1.04
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 51%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportivo MadrynColon
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.11 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.30.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.92 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.75 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Madryn 021 Colon

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Argentina Nacional B
Colon2-1
HT 1-0
Deportivo Madryn
26/10/24
Argentina Nacional B
Colon1-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Madryn
09/06/24
Argentina Nacional B
Deportivo Madryn0-0
HT 0-0
Colon

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Moron 181044 261534
2 Ferro Carril Oeste 181044 201334
3 Los Andes 18783 16629
4 Colon 18783 211429
5 Deportivo Madryn 18774 241828
6 Club Ciudad de Bolivar 18693 151227
7 Almirante Brown 18756 131226
8 CA Estudiantes Caseros 18756 141526
9 Godoy Cruz 18675 181425
10 CA San Miguel 18594 161924
11 CA San Telmo 18486 141620
12 Defensores de Belgrano 18486 121620
13 Racing de Cordoba 18558 162120
14 All Boys 18477 111819
15 Central Norte 18468 111618
16 Acassuso 185310 121918
17 Club Atletico Mitre 18387 182317
18 CA Chaco For Ever 182610 132412

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportivo MadrynColon
Los Andes 2-1 W 1-1 D
CA Chaco For Ever 2-1 W 0-1 L
Defensores de Belgrano 2-1 W 3-0 W
Club Ciudad de Bolivar 0-1 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Madryn

LWDWLWDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/06 Los Andes
Argentina Nacional B
2-1 2-1 313 W
14/06 CA San Miguel
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-2 55 D
07/06 CA San Telmo
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 14 D
31/05 Acassuso
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 56 D
24/05 CA Chaco For Ever
Argentina Nacional B
2-0 2-1 05 W
17/05 Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 64 L
10/05 Central Norte
Argentina Nacional B
2-1 3-2 65 W
03/05 Racing de Cordoba
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 2-2 37 D
26/04 Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-1 55 W
19/04 Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 52 L

Colon

LDDWDDDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 CA Chaco For Ever
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-1 55 L
13/06 Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina Nacional B
2-0 3-0 44 W
07/06 Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 33 D
30/05 Almirante Brown
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-1 60 D
24/05 Club Atletico Mitre
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-1 75 D
16/05 CA Estudiantes Caseros
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 1-1 210 D
10/05 All Boys
Argentina Nacional B
2-0 3-2 77 W
02/05 Los Andes
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-1 05 D
27/04 Godoy Cruz
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 57 D
18/04 Deportivo Moron
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Madryn vs Colon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Madryn win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Madryn 39%, draw 32%, Colon 29%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Madryn vs Colon?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Deportivo Madryn 1.23 · Colon 1.04), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Madryn vs Colon?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.