Football · Argentina Nacional B · 05/07, 20:00

Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing de Cordoba

Expected goals: 1.92 (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.12 · Racing de Cordoba 0.8). The model gives 42% home, 33% draw, 25% away. Over 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.

Recent form leaves CA Estudiantes Caseros with 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Racing de Cordoba has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for CA Estudiantes Caseros and 1 for Racing de Cordoba, with 1 draw.

42%1
42% 33% 25%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1530 · Racing de Cordoba 1471
CA Estudiantes CaserosDrawRacing de Cordoba
Our model42%34%25%
Market42%33%25%
Estimated total (ours) 1.92 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals1.92CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.12 · Racing de Cordoba 0.8
Over / Under 1.75Over 1.75 · 51%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1530 vs 1471).
  • H2H favours CA Estudiantes Caseros: 3-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 12.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA Estudiantes CaserosRacing de Cordoba
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.71.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 42 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.66.8 / 0.7

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 311 Racing de Cordoba

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DateHomeScoreAway
15/02/26
Argentina Nacional B
Racing de Cordoba1-0
HT 1-0
CA Estudiantes Caseros
28/09/24
Argentina Nacional B
CA Estudiantes Caseros1-0
HT 0-0
Racing de Cordoba
12/05/24
Argentina Nacional B
Racing de Cordoba0-1
HT 0-0
CA Estudiantes Caseros
25/06/23
Argentina Nacional B
CA Estudiantes Caseros1-1
HT 1-1
Racing de Cordoba
18/02/23
Argentina Nacional B
Racing de Cordoba0-1
HT 0-1
CA Estudiantes Caseros

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Deportivo Moron 181044 261534
2 Ferro Carril Oeste 181044 201334
3 Los Andes 18783 16629
4 Colon 18783 211429
5 Deportivo Madryn 18774 241828
6 Club Ciudad de Bolivar 18693 151227
7 Almirante Brown 18756 131226
8 CA Estudiantes Caseros 18756 141526
9 Godoy Cruz 18675 181425
10 CA San Miguel 18594 161924
11 CA San Telmo 18486 141620
12 Defensores de Belgrano 18486 121620
13 Racing de Cordoba 18558 162120
14 All Boys 18477 111819
15 Central Norte 18468 111618
16 Acassuso 185310 121918
17 Club Atletico Mitre 18387 182317
18 CA Chaco For Ever 182610 132412

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA Estudiantes CaserosRacing de Cordoba
All Boys 2-1 W 1-1 D
Los Andes 0-0 D 0-2 L
Godoy Cruz 1-0 W 1-2 L
Deportivo Moron 0-2 L 1-2 L
CA San Telmo 1-1 D 0-2 L
CA Chaco For Ever 0-0 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: CA Estudiantes Caseros (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Estudiantes Caseros

DWDDDLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 2-1 91 W
14/06 All Boys
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-1 46 W
06/06 Los Andes
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 16 D
30/05 Godoy Cruz
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 35 W
24/05 Deportivo Moron
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 18 L
16/05 Colon
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 1-1 410 D
09/05 CA San Miguel
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-1 36 D
02/05 CA San Telmo
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 1-1 511 D
26/04 Acassuso
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 77 W
19/04 CA Chaco For Ever
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 34 D

Racing de Cordoba

WLDLLLDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/06 CA San Telmo
Argentina Nacional B
0-2 0-2 46 L
14/06 CA Chaco For Ever
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 17 W
07/06 All Boys
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 1-1 38 D
30/05 Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 68 D
23/05 Los Andes
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-2 58 L
16/05 Central Norte
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-2 17 L
10/05 Godoy Cruz
Argentina Nacional B
0-2 1-2 87 L
03/05 Deportivo Madryn
Argentina Nacional B
1-1 2-2 107 D
26/04 Deportivo Moron
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-2 110 L
20/04 Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 3-0 57 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing de Cordoba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (42%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 42%, draw 33%, Racing de Cordoba 25%.

How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model expects 1.92 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.12 · Racing de Cordoba 0.8), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Racing de Cordoba?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.