Football · Colombia Primera A · 20/09, 01:10

Prediction: Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo

Team pages: Deportivo Cali · Cucuta Deportivo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.44Total

Deportivo Cali1.79

Cucuta Deportivo0.65

1X2

64% 24% 12%

Deportivo Cali Draw Cucuta Deportivo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Cali 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLDDW

Cucuta Deportivo 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDWWLDL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Cali 4–2–0 Cucuta Deportivo (6 last)

Cucuta Deportivo0-2Deportivo Cali
Cucuta Deportivo3-3Deportivo Cali
Cucuta Deportivo1-4Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali2-0Cucuta Deportivo
Deportivo Cali3-1Cucuta Deportivo
Cucuta Deportivo3-3Deportivo Cali

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Cali 1554 · Cucuta Deportivo 1445

	Deportivo Cali	Draw	Cucuta Deportivo
Our model	64%	24%	12%
Market	64%	23%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cali (rating 1554 vs 1445).
H2H favours Deportivo Cali: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Cali	Cucuta Deportivo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.4	6.2 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.47
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.12 ★
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.6% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
18:42 +1’	1.44	4.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:13 +3’	1.47	4.12	6.86

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cali 4–2–0 Cucuta Deportivo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	0-2 HT 0-0	Deportivo Cali
23/09/20 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	3-3 HT 1-2	Deportivo Cali
23/09/19 Colombia Primera A	Cucuta Deportivo	1-4 HT 1-2	Deportivo Cali
01/04/19 Colombia Primera A	Deportivo Cali	2-0 HT 0-0	Cucuta Deportivo
27/07/17 Colombia Cup	Deportivo Cali	3-1 HT 1-0	Cucuta Deportivo
05/07/17 Colombia Cup	Cucuta Deportivo	3-3 HT 1-1	Deportivo Cali

Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	America de Cali	8	6	2	0	20	4	20
2	Millonarios	10	4	4	2	12	8	16
3	Deportes Tolima	8	5	1	2	12	9	16
4	Atletico Nacional Medellin	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
5	Independiente Medellin	7	5	0	2	13	8	15
6	Atletico Bucaramanga	7	3	4	0	10	6	13
7	Independiente Santa Fe	8	3	4	1	12	9	13
8	Deportivo Cali	8	3	3	2	11	8	12
9	Llaneros	9	3	2	4	11	12	11
10	Internacional de Bogota	9	2	5	2	11	12	11
11	Aguilas Doradas	7	2	4	1	10	10	10
12	Once Caldas	8	2	3	3	12	11	9
13	Cucuta Deportivo	9	2	3	4	9	15	9
14	Fortaleza CEIF	9	1	5	3	10	12	8
15	Boyaca Chico	7	2	2	3	6	13	8
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	8	1	4	3	9	14	7
17	Deportivo Pereira	7	1	3	3	4	9	6
18	Alianza	8	1	2	5	6	15	5
19	Junior	7	0	3	4	8	13	3
20	Deportivo Pasto	8	0	2	6	7	15	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Cali	Cucuta Deportivo
Once Caldas	2-1 W	1-5 L
Millonarios	1-1 D	1-2 L
Atletico Bucaramanga	1-1 D	1-1 D
Internacional de Bogota	2-2 D	1-1 D
Deportivo Pasto	2-0 W	2-2 D
Independiente Medellin	0-1 L	1-0 W
Jaguares de Cordoba	2-0 W	0-2 L
Deportes Tolima	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cali (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportivo Cali

WDWLWDLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
11/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-1	3	10	D
31/08	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
27/08	Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
24/08	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	2-1	2-2	4	1	D
09/08	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	1-0	2-0	3	8	W
02/08	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
25/07	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
03/05	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
26/04	America de Cali Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Cucuta Deportivo

LLDLDWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Millonarios Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	7	2	L
06/09	Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A	2-1	2-2	2	13	D
01/09	Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
26/08	Alianza Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-0	3	11	W
23/08	Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
20/08	Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A	0-0	1-1	3	10	D
08/08	Fortaleza CEIF Colombia Primera A	0-1	0-2	2	4	L
04/08	Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A	1-1	1-1	1	11	D
27/07	Once Caldas Colombia Primera A	1-3	1-5	10	3	L
02/05	Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A	0-0	0-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cali win (64%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cali 64%, draw 24%, Cucuta Deportivo 12%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Deportivo Cali 1.79 · Cucuta Deportivo 0.65), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta Deportivo?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.