Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 18/10, 06:00
Prediction: Omiya Ardija (W) vs Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Team pages: Omiya Ardija (W) · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Omiya Ardija (W)1.36
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)0.89
1X2
Omiya Ardija (W)
Draw
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Omiya Ardija (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omiya Ardija (W)
4–1–1
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
(6 last)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)0-5Omiya Ardija (W)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)0-1Omiya Ardija (W)
- Omiya Ardija (W)3-0Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
- Omiya Ardija (W)0-0Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)0-1Omiya Ardija (W)
- Omiya Ardija (W)1-2Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omiya Ardija (W) 1509 · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1505
| Omiya Ardija (W) | Draw | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Omiya Ardija (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omiya Ardija (W) | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 1.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omiya Ardija (W) 4–1–1 Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Japan League Cup Women | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 0-5 HT 0-3 | Omiya Ardija (W) |
| 22/02/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Omiya Ardija (W) |
| 25/10/25 Japan League Cup Women | Omiya Ardija (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
| 10/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Omiya Ardija (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
| 19/04/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Omiya Ardija (W) |
| 15/09/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Omiya Ardija (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | INAC Leonessa (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Nojima (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Omiya Ardija (W) | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Nojima (W) | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| INAC Leonessa (W) | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omiya Ardija (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 18/02 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 30/08 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Omiya Ardija (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Omiya Ardija (W) 47%, draw 29%, Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Omiya Ardija (W) 1.36 · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.