Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 18/10, 07:00
Prediction: Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Nojima (W)
Team pages: Cerezo Osaka (W) · Nojima (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Cerezo Osaka (W)1.41
Nojima (W)1.16
1X2
Cerezo Osaka (W)
Draw
Nojima (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cerezo Osaka (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Nojima (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cerezo Osaka (W)
4–2
Nojima (W)
(6 last)
- Nojima (W)3-0Cerezo Osaka (W)
- Nojima (W)2-1Cerezo Osaka (W)
- Cerezo Osaka (W)1-0Nojima (W)
- Cerezo Osaka (W)2-1Nojima (W)
- Cerezo Osaka (W)2-0Nojima (W)
- Nojima (W)0-2Cerezo Osaka (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cerezo Osaka (W) 1479 · Nojima (W) 1518
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | Draw | Nojima (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cerezo Osaka (W): 4-0-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | Nojima (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.2 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.2 / 0 | 0.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerezo Osaka (W) 4–0–2 Nojima (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Nojima (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cerezo Osaka (W) |
| 28/02/26 Japan League Cup Women | Nojima (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Cerezo Osaka (W) |
| 22/11/25 Japan Cup Women | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nojima (W) |
| 26/10/25 Japan League Cup Women | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Nojima (W) |
| 24/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Nojima (W) |
| 19/04/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Nojima (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cerezo Osaka (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | INAC Leonessa (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Nojima (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerezo Osaka (W) | Nojima (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 2-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Mynavi Sendai (W) | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerezo Osaka (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 04/04 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 21/02 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Nojima (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/08 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 22/08 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 04/04 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 29/03 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Nojima (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerezo Osaka (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Cerezo Osaka (W) 42%, draw 28%, Nojima (W) 30%.
How many goals are expected in Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Nojima (W)?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Cerezo Osaka (W) 1.41 · Nojima (W) 1.16), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Nojima (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.