Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 18/10, 07:00
Prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Team pages: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1.27
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1.33
1X2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Draw
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
3–1–2
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
(6 last)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)3-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)2-0Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)3-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)3-2Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1564 · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 1533
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | Draw | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 29% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.3 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 0.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 3–1–2 Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 Japan League Cup Women | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 03/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) |
| 18/04/26 Japan League Cup Women | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 12/04/26 Japan League Cup Women | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 3-2 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) |
| 22/11/25 Japan Cup Women | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
| 04/10/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | INAC Leonessa (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Nojima (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| INAC Leonessa (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 5-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Albirex Niigata (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 29/08 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 28/03 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/02 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/02 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 34%, draw 28%, Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 37%.
How many goals are expected in Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1.27 · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) vs Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.