Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 22/08, 11:00

Prediction: INAC Leonessa (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

INAC Leonessa (W)1.17

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1.17

1X2

34% 31% 35%

INAC Leonessa (W) Draw Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

INAC Leonessa (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWWWWL

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWDWLWWDW

Head-to-head

INAC Leonessa (W) 0–1–5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) (6 last)

INAC Leonessa (W)0-1Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)0-0INAC Leonessa (W)
INAC Leonessa (W)1-2Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
INAC Leonessa (W)1-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)2-1INAC Leonessa (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1-0INAC Leonessa (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) (rating 1515 vs 1571).
H2H favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	INAC Leonessa (W)	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	13/63/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.81

Under 21.99

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:56

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.48 → 2.48	Pinn 2.48
X	3.12 → 3.12	Pinn 3.12
2	2.72 → 2.72	Pinn 2.72

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:55 +1’	2.48	3.12	2.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · INAC Leonessa (W) 0–1–5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	INAC Leonessa (W)	0-1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
21/03/26 Japan League Cup Women	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	INAC Leonessa (W)
01/01/26 Japan Cup Women	INAC Leonessa (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
25/10/25 Japan League Cup Women	INAC Leonessa (W)	1-3 HT 0-1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
17/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	INAC Leonessa (W)
19/04/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	INAC Leonessa (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Albirex Niigata (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerezo Osaka (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	INAC Leonessa (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mynavi Sendai (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nojima (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Omiya Ardija (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	INAC Leonessa (W)	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	5-1 W	5-1 W
Omiya Ardija (W)	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: INAC Leonessa (W) (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

INAC Leonessa (W)

LLWDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
03/05	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	5-1	9	1	W
25/04	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-1	1	2	W
05/04	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
29/03	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	4-0	4	2	W
21/03	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan League Cup Women	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
14/03	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan League Cup Women	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
07/03	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan League Cup Women	1-3	1-4	5	0	L
28/02	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan League Cup Women	–	1-3	–	–	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

LDWDWLWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
03/05	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/04	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	5-1	4	1	W
18/04	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan League Cup Women	1-3	1-3	4	0	L
12/04	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan League Cup Women	–	3-2	–	–	W
05/04	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
28/03	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
21/03	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan League Cup Women	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
15/03	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan League Cup Women	1-1	1-2	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in INAC Leonessa (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) win (35%). Probabilities: INAC Leonessa (W) 34%, draw 31%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in INAC Leonessa (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?

The model expects 2.34 goals (INAC Leonessa (W) 1.17 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1.17), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in INAC Leonessa (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.