Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 30/08, 11:00
Prediction: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)
Team pages: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) · INAC Leonessa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)0.82
INAC Leonessa (W)1.96
1X2
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Draw
INAC Leonessa (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
INAC Leonessa (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
1–1–4
INAC Leonessa (W)
(6 last)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)0-1INAC Leonessa (W)
- INAC Leonessa (W)2-0Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)3-1INAC Leonessa (W)
- INAC Leonessa (W)2-1Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
- INAC Leonessa (W)1-0Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
- Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)2-2INAC Leonessa (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1465 · INAC Leonessa (W) 1549
| Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | Draw | INAC Leonessa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 23% | 63% |
| Market | 15% | 21% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours INAC Leonessa (W) (rating 1465 vs 1549).
- H2H favours INAC Leonessa (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | INAC Leonessa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 44/33/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1–1–4 INAC Leonessa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | INAC Leonessa (W) |
| 14/03/26 Japan League Cup Women | INAC Leonessa (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
| 28/02/26 Japan League Cup Women | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 3-1 | INAC Leonessa (W) |
| 23/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | INAC Leonessa (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
| 01/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | INAC Leonessa (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) |
| 14/12/24 Japan Cup Women | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 2-2 HT 1-0 | INAC Leonessa (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | INAC Leonessa (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Nojima (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | INAC Leonessa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Mynavi Sendai (W) | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Albirex Niigata (W) | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: INAC Leonessa (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/04 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/02 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 20/12 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
INAC Leonessa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/02 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 15/02 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 20/12 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an INAC Leonessa (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 14%, draw 22%, INAC Leonessa (W) 64%.
How many goals are expected in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 0.82 · INAC Leonessa (W) 1.96), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs INAC Leonessa (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.