Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 30/08, 11:00

Prediction: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Nojima (W)

Team pages: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) · Nojima (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)1.96

Nojima (W)0.89

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Draw Nojima (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLWLW

Nojima (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 5–1–0 Nojima (W) (6 last)

Nojima (W)0-2Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Nojima (W)2-4Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)3-2Nojima (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)2-1Nojima (W)
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)2-2Nojima (W)
Nojima (W)0-1Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1552 · Nojima (W) 1527

	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	Draw	Nojima (W)
Our model	61%	23%	15%
Market	62%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Urawa Red Diamonds (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	Nojima (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	56/33/11%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.7	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.6 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.44▲	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.20▼	Pinn 4.38
2	7.00 → 5.50▼	Pinn 6.89 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
05:21 +6’	1.33	4.50	7.00
15:49 +4’	1.44▲	4.20▼	5.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +8’	1.39	4.38	6.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 5–1–0 Nojima (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	Nojima (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
07/03/26 Japan League Cup Women	Nojima (W)	2-4 HT 0-3	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)
30/11/25 Japan League Cup Women	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	Nojima (W)
11/10/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Nojima (W)
11/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2-2 HT 0-2	Nojima (W)
22/12/24 Japan Cup Women	Nojima (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
3	INAC Leonessa (W)	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	Mynavi Sendai (W)	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
5	Nojima (W)	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
7	Albirex Niigata (W)	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
7	Cerezo Osaka (W)	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
10	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
11	Omiya Ardija (W)	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
12	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	Nojima (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)	1-0 W	4-0 W
JEF Utd Chiba (W)	0-1 L	2-2 D
Mynavi Sendai (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Cerezo Osaka (W)	3-2 W	3-0 W
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	5-0 W	2-0 W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Albirex Niigata (W)	3-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nojima (W) (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Urawa Red Diamonds (W)

WLWWWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
16/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
10/05	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	4	0	W
03/05	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/04	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
04/04	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	3-2	–	–	W
29/03	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
22/02	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	4-0	5-0	4	0	W
15/02	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
20/12	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	3-1	3	0	W

Nojima (W)

WDLLWWLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	8	0	W
16/05	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	4-0	3	1	W
09/05	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/05	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
26/04	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
04/04	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-0	1	0	W
29/03	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
22/02	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	7	1	L
14/02	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-2	2-2	5	0	D
20/12	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	3-0	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Nojima (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Urawa Red Diamonds (W) win (62%). Probabilities: Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 62%, draw 22%, Nojima (W) 16%.

How many goals are expected in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Nojima (W)?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Urawa Red Diamonds (W) 1.96 · Nojima (W) 0.89), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Urawa Red Diamonds (W) vs Nojima (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.