Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 30/08, 11:00
Prediction: Albirex Niigata (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)
Team pages: Albirex Niigata (W) · Mynavi Sendai (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.72Total
Albirex Niigata (W)0.99
Mynavi Sendai (W)0.73
1X2
Albirex Niigata (W)
Draw
Mynavi Sendai (W)
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Albirex Niigata (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Mynavi Sendai (W)
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Albirex Niigata (W)
3–1–2
Mynavi Sendai (W)
(6 last)
- Mynavi Sendai (W)0-0Albirex Niigata (W)
- Mynavi Sendai (W)2-1Albirex Niigata (W)
- Albirex Niigata (W)0-1Mynavi Sendai (W)
- Mynavi Sendai (W)3-6Albirex Niigata (W)
- Albirex Niigata (W)2-1Mynavi Sendai (W)
- Albirex Niigata (W)3-0Mynavi Sendai (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Albirex Niigata (W) 1469 · Mynavi Sendai (W) 1510
| Albirex Niigata (W) | Draw | Mynavi Sendai (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 36% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mynavi Sendai (W) (rating 1469 vs 1510).
- H2H favours Albirex Niigata (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Albirex Niigata (W) | Mynavi Sendai (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 1.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.1 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Albirex Niigata (W) 3–1–2 Mynavi Sendai (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/25 Japan Cup Women | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Albirex Niigata (W) |
| 03/11/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Albirex Niigata (W) |
| 31/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Albirex Niigata (W) | 0-1 | Mynavi Sendai (W) |
| 13/04/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 3-6 HT 1-3 | Albirex Niigata (W) |
| 22/12/24 Japan Cup Women | Albirex Niigata (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Mynavi Sendai (W) |
| 17/11/24 Japan Women Empowerment League | Albirex Niigata (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Mynavi Sendai (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | INAC Leonessa (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Nojima (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Albirex Niigata (W) | Mynavi Sendai (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Nojima (W) | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| INAC Leonessa (W) | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Albirex Niigata (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 26/04 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 05/04 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 28/03 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 21/02 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 15/02 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 20/12 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
Mynavi Sendai (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/02 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 14/02 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/12 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Albirex Niigata (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Albirex Niigata (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Albirex Niigata (W) 41%, draw 32%, Mynavi Sendai (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Albirex Niigata (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?
The model expects 1.72 goals (Albirex Niigata (W) 0.99 · Mynavi Sendai (W) 0.73), with a 61% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Albirex Niigata (W) vs Mynavi Sendai (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.