Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 05/09, 11:00

Prediction: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Team pages: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) · AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)1.94

AC Nagano Parceiro (W)0.87

1X2

61% 23% 15%

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Draw AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLDLLD

Head-to-head

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 4–2–0 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) (6 last)

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)4-0AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)0-2Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)0-3Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)1-1AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)1-1Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)1-0AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) (rating 1491 vs 1386).
H2H favours Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	0.9 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.7 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	1.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.96

Under 2.51.83

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.76 → 1.76	Pinn 1.76
X	3.47 → 3.47	Pinn 3.47
2	4.24 → 4.24	Pinn 4.24

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +2’	1.76	3.47	4.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 4–2–0 AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	4-0 HT 2-0	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
18/10/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
04/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
01/12/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	1-1 HT 1-1	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
28/04/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	1-1	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)
30/12/23 Japan Women Empowerment League	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	Cerezo Osaka (W)	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	Albirex Niigata (W)	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	Mynavi Sendai (W)	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
7	INAC Leonessa (W)	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
8	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Nojima (W)	2	1	0	1	2	5	3
10	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
11	Omiya Ardija (W)	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
12	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
INAC Leonessa (W)	2-1 W	2-2 D
Nojima (W)	0-1 L	0-2 L
Mynavi Sendai (W)	3-2 W	1-2 L
Albirex Niigata (W)	1-2 L	2-2 D
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	1-0 W	1-4 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	0-1 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	8	1	W
22/08	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
16/05	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	3-2	5	1	W
10/05	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
02/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
26/04	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-2	2	1	L
05/04	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
28/03	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
22/02	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
14/02	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	4-0	5	1	W

AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-1	2-2	3	1	D
29/08	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-4	1	0	L
23/08	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-2	10	1	L
16/05	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
10/05	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
03/05	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	1-5	3	1	L
25/04	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-5	2	1	L
04/04	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
28/03	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
22/02	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-4	0-5	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) win (61%). Probabilities: Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 61%, draw 23%, AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) 1.94 · AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 0.87), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.