Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 05/09, 11:00

Prediction: Omiya Ardija (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)

Team pages: Omiya Ardija (W) · Albirex Niigata (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

Omiya Ardija (W)1.13

Albirex Niigata (W)1.12

1X2

35% 31% 34%

Omiya Ardija (W) Draw Albirex Niigata (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Omiya Ardija (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Albirex Niigata (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDWDLLDW

Head-to-head

Omiya Ardija (W) 1–3–2 Albirex Niigata (W) (6 last)

Albirex Niigata (W)0-0Omiya Ardija (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)0-0Albirex Niigata (W)
Albirex Niigata (W)1-1Omiya Ardija (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)0-1Albirex Niigata (W)
Albirex Niigata (W)0-1Omiya Ardija (W)
Omiya Ardija (W)1-2Albirex Niigata (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Albirex Niigata (W) (rating 1461 vs 1514).
H2H favours Albirex Niigata (W): 2-3-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Omiya Ardija (W)	Albirex Niigata (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.2	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.7 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.99

Under 2.251.81

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:42

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.44 → 2.44	Pinn 2.44
X	3.19 → 3.19	Pinn 3.19
2	2.72 → 2.72	Pinn 2.72

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +2’	2.44	3.19	2.72

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Omiya Ardija (W) 1–3–2 Albirex Niigata (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	Albirex Niigata (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Omiya Ardija (W)
14/09/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Albirex Niigata (W)
22/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Albirex Niigata (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Omiya Ardija (W)
09/11/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Albirex Niigata (W)
14/04/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Albirex Niigata (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Omiya Ardija (W)
23/12/23 Japan Women Empowerment League	Omiya Ardija (W)	1-2 HT 0-2	Albirex Niigata (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	Cerezo Osaka (W)	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	Albirex Niigata (W)	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	Mynavi Sendai (W)	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
7	INAC Leonessa (W)	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
8	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Nojima (W)	2	1	0	1	2	5	3
10	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
11	Omiya Ardija (W)	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
12	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Omiya Ardija (W)	Albirex Niigata (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Nojima (W)	0-4 L	0-2 L
INAC Leonessa (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	1-2 L	1-2 L
Cerezo Osaka (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Albirex Niigata (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Omiya Ardija (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
22/08	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
16/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-4	3	1	L
10/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
02/05	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
26/04	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
05/04	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
22/02	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	2	0	W
18/02	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-2	4	0	L
15/02	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W

Albirex Niigata (W)

WWDDWDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
23/08	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
16/05	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
09/05	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-2	1	1	L
02/05	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
26/04	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	2-1	9	1	W
05/04	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-1	2	1	D
28/03	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
21/02	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-1	3-1	0	0	W
15/02	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	1	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Omiya Ardija (W) win (35%). Probabilities: Omiya Ardija (W) 35%, draw 31%, Albirex Niigata (W) 34%.

How many goals are expected in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)?

The model expects 2.25 goals (Omiya Ardija (W) 1.13 · Albirex Niigata (W) 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Omiya Ardija (W) vs Albirex Niigata (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.