Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 05/09, 11:00

Prediction: Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

Team pages: Cerezo Osaka (W) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Cerezo Osaka (W)1.07

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1.43

1X2

27% 29% 44%

Cerezo Osaka (W) Draw Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Cerezo Osaka (W) 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWDDDW

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Cerezo Osaka (W) 0–2–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) (6 last)

Cerezo Osaka (W)0-0Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)3-2Cerezo Osaka (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1-0Cerezo Osaka (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1-1Cerezo Osaka (W)
Cerezo Osaka (W)1-4Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)1-0Cerezo Osaka (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) (rating 1472 vs 1581).
H2H favours Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W): 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cerezo Osaka (W)	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.3	1.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	44/44/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	0.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.78

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.57 → 4.57	Pinn 4.57
X	3.29 → 3.29	Pinn 3.29
2	1.76 → 1.76	Pinn 1.76

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +1’	4.57	3.29	1.76

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerezo Osaka (W) 0–2–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	Cerezo Osaka (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
14/12/25 Japan Cup Women	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	3-2 HT 3-0	Cerezo Osaka (W)
27/09/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Cerezo Osaka (W)
15/03/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Cerezo Osaka (W)
20/10/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Cerezo Osaka (W)	1-4 HT 1-1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
25/05/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Cerezo Osaka (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2	2	0	0	6	1	6
2	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
3	Cerezo Osaka (W)	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
4	Albirex Niigata (W)	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	Mynavi Sendai (W)	2	1	0	1	4	4	3
7	INAC Leonessa (W)	2	1	0	1	3	3	3
8	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Nojima (W)	2	1	0	1	2	5	3
10	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	2	0	0	2	2	5	0
11	Omiya Ardija (W)	2	0	0	2	0	3	0
12	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	2	0	0	2	2	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cerezo Osaka (W)	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)	3-1 W	3-0 W
Albirex Niigata (W)	1-1 D	1-1 D
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	1-1 D	5-1 W
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	2-3 L	2-1 W
Omiya Ardija (W)	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cerezo Osaka (W)

LLDLLWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
23/08	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-1	10	2	D
16/05	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-1	0	3	D
10/05	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
03/05	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
26/04	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
04/04	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	2-3	–	–	L
28/03	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
21/02	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-2	1-3	3	0	L
15/02	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	7	1	L

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)

WWWDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-0	10	0	W
22/08	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-2	4	1	L
16/05	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	7	0	D
03/05	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	2-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/04	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	5-1	4	1	W
05/04	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	1-1	7	1	D
28/03	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
21/02	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	3-0	3-0	2	0	W
15/02	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-1	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Cerezo Osaka (W) 27%, draw 29%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 44%.

How many goals are expected in Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Cerezo Osaka (W) 1.07 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cerezo Osaka (W) vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.