Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 23/08, 11:00

Prediction: Mynavi Sendai (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.42Total

Mynavi Sendai (W)1.64

AC Nagano Parceiro (W)0.78

1X2

57% 26% 17%

Mynavi Sendai (W) Draw AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Mynavi Sendai (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLLWWL

AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLLLD

Head-to-head

Mynavi Sendai (W) 3–2–1 AC Nagano Parceiro (W) (6 last)

AC Nagano Parceiro (W)0-1Mynavi Sendai (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)1-0AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)1-2Mynavi Sendai (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)0-0AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
Mynavi Sendai (W)2-2AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
AC Nagano Parceiro (W)2-1Mynavi Sendai (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mynavi Sendai (W) 1503 · AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 1357

	Mynavi Sendai (W)	Draw	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
Our model	57%	27%	17%
Market	57%	26%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mynavi Sendai (W) (rating 1503 vs 1357).
H2H favours Mynavi Sendai (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mynavi Sendai (W)	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.8 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.1	0.3 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.4	1.3 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	1.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.59
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.63 ★
2	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.27

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:24 +7’	1.57	3.50	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:26 +5’	1.59	3.63	5.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mynavi Sendai (W) 3–2–1 AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Japan Women Empowerment League	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Mynavi Sendai (W)
21/03/26 Japan League Cup Women	Mynavi Sendai (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
27/10/25 Japan League Cup Women	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Mynavi Sendai (W)
16/08/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Mynavi Sendai (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
17/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League	Mynavi Sendai (W)	2-2 HT 0-1	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
20/10/24 Japan Women Empowerment League	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	2-1	Mynavi Sendai (W)

Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Albirex Niigata (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cerezo Osaka (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	INAC Leonessa (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JEF Utd Chiba (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mynavi Sendai (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nojima (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Omiya Ardija (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mynavi Sendai (W)	AC Nagano Parceiro (W)
Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W)	2-3 L	0-4 L
Urawa Red Diamonds (W)	1-0 W	0-5 L
INAC Leonessa (W)	1-2 L	1-5 L
Cerezo Osaka (W)	0-0 D	1-1 D
Nojima (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)	0-2 L	2-3 L
Omiya Ardija (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W)	2-0 W	1-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Mynavi Sendai (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mynavi Sendai (W)

WDLWDLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-3	6	1	L
10/05	AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
03/05	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
25/04	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
05/04	JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/03	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
22/02	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
14/02	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	3	0	L
20/12	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
08/11	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-0	2-0	4	0	W

AC Nagano Parceiro (W)

LLLLDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/05	Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
10/05	Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
03/05	INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	1-5	3	1	L
25/04	Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-1	1-5	2	1	L
04/04	Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
28/03	Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
22/02	Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-4	0-5	3	0	L
14/02	Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
20/12	Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-3	2-3	0	1	L
09/11	Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League	0-2	1-2	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mynavi Sendai (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mynavi Sendai (W) win (57%). Probabilities: Mynavi Sendai (W) 57%, draw 26%, AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in Mynavi Sendai (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Mynavi Sendai (W) 1.64 · AC Nagano Parceiro (W) 0.78), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Mynavi Sendai (W) vs AC Nagano Parceiro (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.