Football · Japan Women Empowerment League · 23/08, 11:00
Prediction: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.57Total
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)1.92
JEF Utd Chiba (W)0.65
1X2
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
Draw
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
5–1–0
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
(6 last)
- JEF Utd Chiba (W)0-1Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
- JEF Utd Chiba (W)1-2Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)0-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)7-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)3-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)
- Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)2-0JEF Utd Chiba (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 1543 · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 1477
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | Draw | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 23% | 11% |
| Market | 68% | 20% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) (rating 1543 vs 1477).
- H2H favours Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W): 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 1.3 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.6 / 0 | 1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 5–1–0 JEF Utd Chiba (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Japan Women Empowerment League | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) |
| 21/03/26 Japan League Cup Women | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) |
| 26/10/25 Japan League Cup Women | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
| 20/09/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 7-0 HT 4-0 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
| 17/05/25 Japan Women Empowerment League | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
| 15/12/24 Japan Cup Women | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
Standings · Japan Women Empowerment League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Albirex Niigata (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerezo Osaka (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | INAC Leonessa (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mynavi Sendai (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nojima (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Omiya Ardija (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) | JEF Utd Chiba (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Albirex Niigata (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Urawa Red Diamonds (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| INAC Leonessa (W) | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Omiya Ardija (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Mynavi Sendai (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cerezo Osaka (W) | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | JEF Utd Chiba (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 05/04 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 22/02 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 18/02 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 14/02 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/12 | AC Nagano Parceiro (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/11 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
JEF Utd Chiba (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05 | Urawa Red Diamonds (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Omiya Ardija (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Cerezo Osaka (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 05/04 | Mynavi Sendai (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | INAC Leonessa (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/02 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/02 | Nojima (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 20/12 | Chifure AS Elfen Saitama (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 08/11 | Albirex Niigata (W) Japan Women Empowerment League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) win (67%). Probabilities: Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 67%, draw 21%, JEF Utd Chiba (W) 12%.
How many goals are expected in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)?
The model expects 2.57 goals (Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) 1.92 · JEF Utd Chiba (W) 0.65), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nippon TV Tokyo Verdy Beleza (W) vs JEF Utd Chiba (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.