Football · England Championship · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Norwich vs West Brom

Team pages: Norwich · West Brom

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Norwich1.47

West Brom1.09

1X2

45% 28% 27%

Norwich Draw West Brom

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Norwich 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWDLDW

West Brom 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Norwich 4–1–1 West Brom (6 last)

Norwich3-1West Brom
West Brom0-5Norwich
Norwich0-1West Brom
Norwich1-0West Brom
West Brom2-2Norwich
Norwich2-0West Brom

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Norwich 1540 · West Brom 1581

	Norwich	Draw	West Brom
Our model	45%	29%	27%
Market	46%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Brom (rating 1540 vs 1581).
H2H favours Norwich: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Norwich	West Brom
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.7	2.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	1.9 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.02

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.52
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.75 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.7% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:19 +1’	2.00	3.40	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:19	2.00	3.52	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Norwich 4–1–1 West Brom

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 England FA Cup	Norwich	3-1 HT 1-0	West Brom
20/01/26 England Championship	West Brom	0-5 HT 0-1	Norwich
01/10/25 England Championship	Norwich	0-1 HT 0-1	West Brom
29/03/25 England Championship	Norwich	1-0 HT 0-0	West Brom
23/11/24 England Championship	West Brom	2-2 HT 2-2	Norwich
20/01/24 England Championship	Norwich	2-0 HT 1-0	West Brom

Standings · England Championship

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	Pts
1	Birmingham	0
1	Blackburn	0
1	Bolton	0
1	Bristol City	0
1	Burnley	0
1	Cardiff	0
1	Charlton	0
1	Derby	0
1	Lincoln City	0
1	Middlesbrough	0
1	Millwall	0
1	Norwich	0
1	Portsmouth	0
1	Preston	0
1	QPR	0
1	Sheff Utd	0
1	Stoke	0
1	Swansea	0
1	Watford	0
1	West Brom	0
1	West Ham	0
1	Wolverhampton	0
1	Wrexham	0
24	Southampton	-4

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Norwich

WDLWDWDLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Milton Keynes Dons England EFL Cup	3-0	4-1	7	5	W
04/08	Cambridge Utd Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/08	Osasuna Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
22/07	AFC Wimbledon UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
17/07	St Gallen Europe Friendlies	3-0	3-0	4	0	W
11/07	Colchester Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	Kings Lynn Town Club Friendly List	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	Hull England Championship	1-1	1-2	7	3	L
25/04	Swansea England Championship	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
21/04	Derby England Championship	1-0	2-1	3	5	W

West Brom

DWWDLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Rotherham England EFL Cup	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
01/08	Peterborough UK Friendlies	0-0	2-0	2	1	W
25/07	Shrewsbury UK Friendlies	3-1	4-1	4	2	W
17/07	Bromley UK Friendlies	2-1	4-1	1	2	W
11/07	Sheff Wed Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
02/05	Sheff Wed England Championship	0-2	1-2	2	5	L
25/04	Ipswich England Championship	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
21/04	Watford England Championship	2-0	3-0	4	7	W
18/04	Preston England Championship	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
10/04	Millwall England Championship	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Norwich vs West Brom?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Norwich win (45%). Probabilities: Norwich 45%, draw 28%, West Brom 27%.

How many goals are expected in Norwich vs West Brom?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Norwich 1.47 · West Brom 1.09), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Norwich vs West Brom?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.