Prediction: Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City
Team pages: Middlesbrough · Lincoln City
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 20% | 11% |
| Market | 70% | 17% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Middlesbrough | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.6 | 2.2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.1 |
Standings · England Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Blackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Charlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Derby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lincoln City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Norwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Preston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | QPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sheff Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Swansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | West Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wolverhampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Southampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Middlesbrough
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Wrexham England EFL Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Espanyol Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Celtic UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Hull England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Southampton England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Southampton England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Wrexham England Championship |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Watford England Championship |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Sheff Wed England Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Ipswich England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
Lincoln City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Derby England EFL Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Barnsley UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Doncaster UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Grimsby UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Leyton Orient UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Boston Utd UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Port Vale England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Wycombe England League 1 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Middlesbrough win (70%). Probabilities: Middlesbrough 70%, draw 18%, Lincoln City 12%.
How many goals are expected in Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Middlesbrough 2.24 · Lincoln City 0.82), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.