Football · Russia Premier League · 23/10, 18:30
Prediction: FC Akhmat Grozny vs FC Orenburg
Team pages: FC Akhmat Grozny · FC Orenburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
FC Akhmat Grozny1.25
FC Orenburg1.25
1X2
FC Akhmat Grozny
Draw
FC Orenburg
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Akhmat Grozny
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
FC Orenburg
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Akhmat Grozny
2–2–2
FC Orenburg
(6 last)
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-0FC Orenburg
- FC Akhmat Grozny0-1FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-2FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Orenburg2-1FC Akhmat Grozny
- FC Akhmat Grozny1-0FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg0-0FC Akhmat Grozny
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Orenburg (rating 1471 vs 1525).
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Akhmat Grozny | FC Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.3 | – / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Akhmat Grozny 2–2–2 FC Orenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/25 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 30/09/25 Russia Cup | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 22/08/25 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-2 HT 2-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 13/08/25 Russia Cup | FC Orenburg | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
| 08/12/24 Russia Premier League | FC Akhmat Grozny | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 28/07/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Akhmat Grozny |
Standings · Russia Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Moscow | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | 24 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 8 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 22 |
| 5 | Krasnodar | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 13 | 22 |
| 6 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 7 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 10 | Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 12 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 6 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Akhmat Grozny | FC Orenburg |
|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Akron Tolyatti | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| Rubin Kazan | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Rostov | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Krasnodar | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Fakel Voronezh | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Spartak Moscow | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Orenburg (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Akhmat Grozny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 11/10 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 13/09 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 07/09 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 29/08 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
FC Orenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/09 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 12/09 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 22/08 | Fakel Voronezh Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Akhmat Grozny vs FC Orenburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Akhmat Grozny win (35%). Probabilities: FC Akhmat Grozny 35%, draw 30%, FC Orenburg 35%.
How many goals are expected in FC Akhmat Grozny vs FC Orenburg?
The model expects 2.5 goals (FC Akhmat Grozny 1.25 · FC Orenburg 1.25), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Akhmat Grozny vs FC Orenburg?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.