Football · Russia Premier League · 01/08, 19:45
Prediction: Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Baltika Kaliningrad1.06
Dinamo Moscow1.42
1X2
Baltika Kaliningrad
Draw
Dinamo Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Baltika Kaliningrad
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Dinamo Moscow
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Baltika Kaliningrad
1–2–3
Dinamo Moscow
(6 last)
- Baltika Kaliningrad1-2Dinamo Moscow
- Dinamo Moscow1-1Baltika Kaliningrad
- Baltika Kaliningrad2-3Dinamo Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dinamo Moscow (rating 1450 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Dinamo Moscow: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Baltika Kaliningrad | Dinamo Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3.4 | – / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Baltika Kaliningrad 1–2–3 Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 18/07/25 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 11/05/24 Russia Premier League | Baltika Kaliningrad | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 23/02/24 Club Friendly List | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Dinamo Moscow |
| 13/08/23 Russia Premier League | Dinamo Moscow | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 19/04/22 Russia Cup | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Dinamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Krasnodar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Rostov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Rodina Moscow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Fakel Voronezh | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Baltika Kaliningrad | Dinamo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Moscow | 1-2 L | 5-2 W |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Rubin Kazan | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Krasnodar | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Nizhny Novgorod | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| PFC Sochi | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Dinamo Moscow (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Baltika Kaliningrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/04 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Dinamo Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 18/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
4-1 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/07 | FC Orenburg Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Krasnodar Russia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 01/05 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/04 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Dinamo Moscow win (44%). Probabilities: Baltika Kaliningrad 27%, draw 29%, Dinamo Moscow 44%.
How many goals are expected in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Baltika Kaliningrad 1.06 · Dinamo Moscow 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.